ext_63723 ([identity profile] barondave.livejournal.com) wrote in [personal profile] drewan 2012-06-07 05:40 am (UTC)

Unfortunately, Citizens United changed the rules of the game, and not in Obama's favor. Still, I'm less worried about Obama's chances than downticket races that won't get Dem attention but will get Koch bucks.

Why will Obama get reelected? People still remember the Bush administration, and blame him and the Republicans far more than they blame Obama and the Democrats. The teabagger obstructionist House of Representatives has historically low approval ratings. Real Republicans are aghast at their party being taken over by racist nutjobs, loser gun nuts and religious extremists. Republican efforts at voter suppression are being challenged; we may have close an unbiased election for the first time in more than a decade.

There's a lot of time until the election, and the voters have an extraordinarily short attention span, and (as the Wisconsin election demonstrated) gullible morons tend to vote Republican. I'm hoping that the rise of social media and fact checking (the real fact checking, not the conservative news media spin doctors) will hold the day.

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